{
  "_meta": {
    "fixture_version": "v0.36.1.0",
    "page": "daily-2026-04-15.md",
    "synthetic": true,
    "notes": "Daily-journal genre. Hedging language is the dominant signal — 'I think', 'I'm skeptical', 'maybe'. Tests propose_takes ability to extract from prose without explicit ## Takes section."
  },
  "claims": [
    {
      "claim_text": "acme-example pricing change at 40% is too aggressive given current data",
      "kind": "judgment",
      "domain": "pricing",
      "conviction": 0.65,
      "since_date": "2026-04-15",
      "rationale": "'I think that's too aggressive' + data argument"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "widget-co international expansion in 2027 is the wrong call given unit economics",
      "kind": "judgment",
      "domain": "strategy",
      "conviction": 0.7,
      "since_date": "2026-04-15",
      "rationale": "'I'm skeptical' + explicit reasoning"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "Founders who pivot late tend to outperform founders who pivot early (in this batch)",
      "kind": "judgment",
      "domain": "founder-patterns",
      "conviction": 0.5,
      "since_date": "2026-04-15",
      "rationale": "Heuristic, hedged with 'maybe selection bias'"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "At least two fund-b portfolio companies will fold in next 12 months",
      "kind": "prediction",
      "domain": "fund-portfolio",
      "conviction": 0.6,
      "since_date": "2026-04-15",
      "rationale": "Explicit moderate conviction"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "AI conference circuit quiets down by late 2026 as revenue numbers come in",
      "kind": "prediction",
      "domain": "market-sentiment",
      "conviction": 0.55,
      "since_date": "2026-04-15",
      "rationale": "'Random small prediction' = self-tagged low-to-mid conviction"
    }
  ]
}
